江汉学术 ›› 2022, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (2): 107-118.doi: 10.16388/j.cnki.cn42-1843/c.2022.02.012

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农村政府工作满意度与准老人的养老观念——基于CGSS数据的实证分析

马洪旭,李 放   

  1. 南京农业大学 公共管理学院,南京 210095
  • 收稿日期:2021-08-13 出版日期:2022-04-15 发布日期:2022-01-24
  • 作者简介:马洪旭,男,山东滕州人,南京农业大学公共管理学院博士生,E-mail:2529156089@qq.com;李 放,女,江苏南京人,南京农业大学公共管理学院教授,博士生导师,E-mail:lf@njau.edu.cn。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目“子女抚育与城镇夫妻劳动配置研究:福利挤压的视角”(71974099);江苏省社科基金重点项目“江苏增强养老服务多层次多样化供给能力研究”(20ZLA011)

Satisfaction with Government Work and the Old-age Support Ideas of Quasi-elderly in the Rural Area:An Empirical Study Based on CGSS Data

MA Hongxu,LI Fang   

  1. The College of Public Administration,Nanjing Agricultural University,Nanjing 210095
  • Received:2021-08-13 Online:2022-04-15 Published:2022-01-24

摘要: 如何在推进服务型政府建设中应对人口老龄化问题是未来农村养老面临的重要议题。文章选取2015年中国综合社会调查(CGSS)数据,运用主成分分析法、Logit模型和IVProbit模型等,考察了政府工作满意度对准老人养老观念的影响以及作用机制。研究发现:农村准老人相比同期老人具有更强的家庭养老观念,而老人相比同期准老人具有更强的社会养老观念,准老人复合养老观念与老人差异不大;回归结果显示,准老人家庭养老观念存在政府公共服务满意度的弱化效应;选取政治干预态度作为工具变量处理内生性后发现,公共服务满意度对家庭养老观念的弱化作用被低估;政府行政能力满意度和社会治安满意度对准老人养老观念不存在显著影响。中介效应检验结果显示,生活幸福感在政府公共服务满意度对准老人家庭养老观念的弱化作用中起显著的部分中介作用。

关键词: 准老人, 养老观念, 公共服务满意度, 家庭养老, 服务型政府

Abstract: In promoting the construction of a service-oriented government,an important issue of future rural old-age service is how to tackle with the aging of population. Based on the 2015 CGSS data,the impact of satisfaction with government work on the old-age support ideas of quasi-elderly as well as the action mechanism are explored by utilizing the Principal Component Analysis,the logit model,and the IVProbit. It is discovered that in the rural region,the quasi-elderly has a stronger preference for family care than the contemporary aged people,while the aged has a stronger preference for social service than the contemporary quasi-elderly;in terms of compound provision for the aged,there is no obvious difference between the two groups. The regression results show that the family care idea of the quasi-elderly displays a weakening effect in relation to satisfaction with government public service;when political intervene attitude is taken as an instrumental variable to deal with endogeneity,it is found that the weakening effect of satisfaction with public service on the idea of family care is underestimated;the degrees of satisfaction with government administrative capacity and the satisfaction with public security have no eminent influence on the old-age support ideas of the quasi-elderly. The results of mediating effect test show that the sense of happiness in life has an eminent partial mediating effect on the weakening effect of satisfaction with government public service on the family care idea of the quasi-elderly.

Key words: the quasi-elderly, ideas of old-age support, satisfaction with public service, family care for the elderly, service-oriented government

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