江汉学术 ›› 2019, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (1): 5-14.doi: 10.16388/j.cnki.cn42-1843/c.2019.01.001

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政治诉求、社会责任与上市银行股价崩盘风险

林 川1,杨 柏2   

  1. 1四川外国语大学 国别经济与国际商务研究中心,重庆 400031;2重庆工商大学 管理学院,重庆 400031
  • 收稿日期:2019-01-05 修回日期:2019-01-05 出版日期:2019-02-15 发布日期:2019-01-29
  • 作者简介:林 川,男,山东青岛人,四川外国语大学国别经济与国际商务研究中心副教授,博士;杨 柏,男,四川乐山人,重庆工商大学管理学院教授。
  • 基金资助:
    四川外国语大学科研一般项目“双重监管视角下中国股票市场安全建设的模式与路径研究”(sisu201732);重庆市教委科学技术研究项目“大数据思维下中国股票市场崩盘风险治理机制研究”(KJQN201800906)

Political Appeal,Social Responsibility,and Listed Banks’Risk of Price Collapse

LIN Chuan1,YANG Bai2   

  1. 1National Economy and International Business Research Center,Sichuan International Studies University,Chongqing 400031;2School of Management,Chongqing Technology and Business University,Chongqing 430031
  • Received:2019-01-05 Revised:2019-01-05 Online:2019-02-15 Published:2019-01-29

摘要: 以 2007—2016年间中国上市商业银行为样本,可实证检验上市商业银行高管政治诉求对股价未来崩盘风险的影响,并加入了对上市商业银行社会责任中间效应的考量。研究发现,相较于高管没有政治关联特征的上市商业银行,高管有政治关联特征的上市商业银行的股价崩盘风险更高,而相较于高管没有政治晋升特征的上市商业银行,高管有政治晋升特征的上市商业银行的股价崩盘风险更低;上市商业银行的社会责任对股价未来崩盘风险产生了明显的抑制作用,考虑社会责任的影响后,高管政治关联对上市商业银行股价未来崩盘风险的正面影响被明显降低,而高管政治晋升对上市商业银行股价未来崩盘风险的负面影响则被明显提升。

关键词: 政治诉求, 社会责任, 股价崩盘风险, 政治关联, 政治晋升, 上市银行

Abstract: Using the commercial banks listed in China during the 2007- 2016 period as samples,the paper empirically tested the impact of bank senior officials’political appeals on the risk of the banks’stock price collapse and examined the intermediate effects of these banks’social responsibilities. The study finds that the risk is higher with banks featuring officials having political connections than those without,but on the contrary,the risk is lower with banks featuring officials’political promotion than banks that do not have such features. The social responsibilities of banks have obvious inhibitory effect on the risk. With this effect,the positive impact of senior officials’political connections on the future risk is considerably lowered while the negative impact of the officials’political promotion on the risk is noticeably increased.

Key words: political appeal, social responsibility, risk of price collapse, political connection, political promotion, listed bank

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