江汉学术 ›› 2025, Vol. 44 ›› Issue (6): 13-23.doi: 10.16388/j.cnki.cn42-1843/c.2025.06.002

• 经济管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

金融高质量发展与赋能经济韧性:机制、效果和影响

李 程1,2,刘莹斐2   

  1. 1天津工业大学 经济与管理学院,天津 300387;2天津大学 管理与经济学部,天津 300072
  • 收稿日期:2025-07-01 出版日期:2025-12-15 发布日期:2025-11-26
  • 作者简介:李程,男,天津人,天津工业大学经济与管理学院教授,E-mail:licheng81121@163.com;刘莹斐,女,山东济南人,天津大学管理与经济学部硕士生,E-mail:liuyingfeii@163.com。

High-quality Financial Development Empowers Economic Resilience:Mechanism,Effect and Impact

LI Cheng1,LIU Yingfei2   

  1. 1School of Economics and Management,Tiangong University,Tianjin 300387;2College of Management and Economics,Tianjin University,Tianjin 300072
  • Received:2025-07-01 Online:2025-12-15 Published:2025-11-26

摘要: 采用耦合协调度模型、Dagum 基尼系数分解法、空间Kernel 密度估计方法,可测算金融高质量发展与经济韧性的耦合协调度,进而全面揭示其时空演变特征,并使用空间计量经济学方法研究金融高质量发展赋能经济韧性的机制和效果。结果发现:全国整体层面的金融高质量发展与经济韧性耦合协调度在不断提高,但是区域差异呈现逐步扩大的演化趋势,在空间层面呈现“高—高”“低—低”的空间分布;金融高质量发展能够有效促进本地区经济韧性的提升,但对相邻地区具有负向空间溢出效应。进一步分析认为,金融高质量发展能够对不利冲击起到显著的对冲作用,市场化程度提高可以增强金融高质量发展对不利冲击的对冲强度,从而提高经济韧性。

关键词: 金融高质量发展, 经济韧性, 空间溢出, 不利冲击, 金融科技创新

Abstract: The coupling coordination degree model,the Dagum Gini coefficient decomposition method,and the spatial Kernel density estimation method are employed to calculate the coupling coordination degree between high-quality financial development and economic resilience,comprehensively reveling their spatiotemporal evolution characteristics;the spatial econometric method is used to study the mechanism and effect of high-quality financial development in empowering economic tenacity. The results show that the coupling and coordination degree between the overall high-quality financial development at the national level and economic resilience is continuously improving;however,regional differences are gradually expanding,and in the spatial aspect,there is a spatial distribution of“high-high”and“low-low”;high-quality financial development can effectively enhance regional economic resilience,but it has a negative spillover effect on adjacent regions. Further analysis suggests that high-quality financial development can significantly mitigate adverse impacts,and an increase of marketization can enhance the hedging intensity of high-quality financial development against adverse shocks,thereby improving economic resilience.

Key words: high-quality development of finance, economic resilience, spatial spillover, adverse impact, technological innovation of finance

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